In CD-11, neither party has a majority. Our representative is largely voted in by independents, who don't really care about party ideology. They care more about practical solutions to issues. And because neither party tends to offer reality-based solutions, we get this effect of swinging back and forth between the extremes as voters attempt to "send a message" to the parties. The message will never be sent. Vote the bums out, but the pendulum will just keep swinging back and forth.
"Harmer said he knows that a wave may carry him to office, but that once he is there he would not be any safer than McNerney.
"In 2006, it wasn't so much that McNerney got hired," he said. "It's that the incumbent got fired. And I think the very same dynamic is playing out now. And I may be facing the same thing if my side doesn't perform." "
If history is any guide, Harmer's side won't perform. We'll be sitting here in another few years voting Harmer out.