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The Swinging Pendulum

Original post made by Stacey, Amberwood/Wood Meadows, on Oct 16, 2010

Another example of a point I made earlier this week. Web Link

In CD-11, neither party has a majority. Our representative is largely voted in by independents, who don't really care about party ideology. They care more about practical solutions to issues. And because neither party tends to offer reality-based solutions, we get this effect of swinging back and forth between the extremes as voters attempt to "send a message" to the parties. The message will never be sent. Vote the bums out, but the pendulum will just keep swinging back and forth.

"Harmer said he knows that a wave may carry him to office, but that once he is there he would not be any safer than McNerney.

"In 2006, it wasn't so much that McNerney got hired," he said. "It's that the incumbent got fired. And I think the very same dynamic is playing out now. And I may be facing the same thing if my side doesn't perform." "

If history is any guide, Harmer's side won't perform. We'll be sitting here in another few years voting Harmer out.

Comments (6)

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Posted by Jane
a resident of Another Pleasanton neighborhood
on Oct 16, 2010 at 1:00 pm

Stacey -- I absolutely agree with you. And not only will we be voting Harmer out, he will have spent his time in DC as one of the lowest ranking member of congress, on sub-committees overseeing less important agencies, with no hope of having direct input on the large scale issues of the day. Even with a Repub majority, he will still be a small fish, with no choice but to follow the party leadership.

No clout. No pull. No power. That is the reality of a newbie representative.

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Posted by Steve
a resident of Highland Oaks
on Oct 17, 2010 at 11:29 pm


Check your facts. The stats show that about 17% of CD11's voters are Decline to State. DTS is not synonymous with independent. In fact, they could be (and traditionally were) more inclined to support conservative Republicans than Pelosi Puppets like McNerney. This district is a moderate Republican district. McNerney is the exception to the rule who got swept in by an anti-Bush wave and rode Obama's coattails. Time for Jerry to make like the wind and blow on down the road.

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Posted by Stacey
a resident of Amberwood/Wood Meadows
on Oct 18, 2010 at 8:40 am

Stacey is a registered user.


"They could be?" That's all you can offer? DTS voters are DTS because they don't like the ideologies of either party. Harmer's chance at winning has everything to do with firing the incumbent and not because of his politics. DTS voters like the fiscally conservative but shun social conservatism. That's as synonymous to "independent" as any definition.

Web Link

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Posted by Resident
a resident of Another Pleasanton neighborhood
on Oct 18, 2010 at 10:43 pm

I am an independent, and as much as I would like to vote Mcnerney and Boxer out, I look at the alternatives, and that is not good. I am inclined to vote again for the dems. I would like to send a message, but I also want to make sure the GOP understands that extreme candidates like Harmer and Fiorina (she even said she would like to overturn Roe v. Wade if the opportunity came!) will not work.

As much as I dislike McNerney, he is getting my vote. Harmer is a joke and Fiorina, well...

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Posted by Maria
a resident of Another Pleasanton neighborhood
on Oct 18, 2010 at 11:21 pm

This is the disadvantage of the two-party system. Issues have become black and white, for it or against it with no compromises, and it's NOT THAT SIMPLE! I'm sick of both major parties and switched my registration to DTS this past cycle, but when it comes down to it, I'm going to vote for the lesser of two evils.

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Posted by Resident
a resident of Another Pleasanton neighborhood
on Oct 19, 2010 at 1:53 pm

And the lesser of two evils, it seems, are the democrats, this is a pretty sad situation.

Why can't the republicans understand that we want fiscally conservative people but will not tolerate extremes? Palin should have taught them that in 2008, what is the deal with the GOP? Do they really think the "base" (extreme right in social issues) will provide enough votes for them to win?

Seriously, I do not know anyone in Delaware, but do you really think a person like that (she makes Palin look smart!) can win?

A friend who attended the tea party rally was trying to convince me about less government, etc. That is fine, but the republicans are for big government, if you think about it: Bush was enforcing the federal law against California's medical marijuana, they want to make abortion illegal, isn't that government interfering in both state affairs and people's personal choices?

And what about social security and medicare? Those are government programs that they republicans won't touch since most of them are recipients of both!

Sorry, but further commenting on this topic has been closed.

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