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By Roz Rogoff

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About this blog: In January 2002 I started writing my own online "newspaper" titled "The San Ramon Observer." I reported on City Council meetings and other happenings in San Ramon. I tried to be objective in my coverage of meetings and events, and...  (More)

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Mark Meuser is dropping out of the election

Uploaded: Jan 24, 2015

I received this email from Mark Meuser, the Republican candidate in the special election for Mark DeSaulnier's seat in the California State Senate District 7.

"Rosalind --

After much deliberation. Today I had to make a very difficult decision not to run for the special election for state senate.

I really appreciated all the supporters who had worked so hard over the last several months. Running for the special election was going to be like running a marathon at a sprinters pace. It was going to be very difficult and a wise man counts the cost before they build a wall lest they get half way through and discover that they do not have the resources to finish. A close examination of how this election was shaping up revealed that the odds of winning were growing to almost impossible.

Many thanks to all those who were encouraging me to run. I really enjoyed campaigning around the district talking to people and hearing the problems that bad government has created. However, more important was learning about the creative solutions on how we could fix California problems. Nonetheless, this race was just not shaping up to be the right opportunity for me.

Mark Meuser for Senate 2016
http://www.markmeuser.com/"

I guess my endorsement couldn't compete with the Tri-Valley Democratic Club's endorsement of Representative Buchanan on Monday night. This choice didn't come as an overwhelming surprise. I'm almost surprised Susan Bonilla is staying in the race.

Unless there are strong reasons for voters to prefer Bonilla or reject Buchanan, the odds are Buchanan will win the special election for this Senate District. DeSaulnier's Senate district encompasses all of Buchanan's Congressional District. A small piece of Bonilla's District is included but the balance is lopsided in Buchanan's favor.

Voter turnout in an odd year election is usually small and in an off season Special Election even smaller. Only die hard supporters of each candidate are likely to vote. I'm not going to bet on this election but Buchanan is in a much better position to win than Bonilla.

I don't blame Meuser for dropping out. He doesn't have enough time to run a reasonable campaign by the Primary date on March 17th. As you can see from the email he signed, "Mark Meuser for Senate 2016," he is still planning to run in the next regular election. That will give him some breathing room to build support from his constituents.

Next year, 2016, is a Presidential election year. There will probably be a Republican Primary for President and for Barbara Boxer's Senate seat. Republicans will be more energized and Meuser has almost two years to build up his campaign and name recognition. Although I'm disappointed he's not running in the Special Election, it is another common sense decision on his part in my view.
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Comments

 +  Like this comment
Posted by Michael Austin, a resident of Pleasanton Meadows,
on Jan 27, 2015 at 3:56 pm

Michael Austin is a registered user.

I am disappointed that Mark Meuser is dropping out. I intended to vote for him. There is a definitive shortage of republican candidates running for office.

I predict the next time California elects a republican governor is when Gavin Newsom runs for governor.


 +  Like this comment
Posted by San Ramon Observer, a resident of San Ramon,
on Jan 27, 2015 at 9:56 pm

San Ramon Observer is a registered user.

Michael,

I am disappointed too.

I also want to update and correct my blog. I misinterpreted his signature line "Mark Meuser for Senate 2016," as meaning he is planning to run in 2016. When I asked him about that he emailed me, "The 2016 is at the bottom of the campaign because that was the official campaign title since we could not open a 2015 account until last week when the governor called the race. As such, that was the entity that paid for the web site and the emails."

He would not say whether he will run in 2016, but I hope he does.

Roz


 +  Like this comment
Posted by Herman Glates, a resident of Danville,
on Jan 28, 2015 at 7:35 am

Steve Glazer?s running. He?s a Democrat, but unlike most Democrats, he doesn?t think the solution to every problem is to raise taxes.

A fiscally conservative Democrat is better than the alternative.


 +  Like this comment
Posted by San Ramon Observer, a resident of San Ramon,
on Jan 28, 2015 at 2:20 pm

San Ramon Observer is a registered user.

HG,

At first I thought you might have read an old article from 2013 when Glazer ran for Assembly, but he did file for the upcoming special election at the last minute along with Republican Michaela Hertle and Democrat Terry Kremin. I don't know anything about Hertle or Kremin, but I like Steve Glazer.

I wrote a snarky blog about him based on the anti-Sbranti brochure mailed out with his photo on the cover. It turned out that he had nothing to do with it and he took me to task for my misconceptions. I appreciate being told when I am wrong. I don't like to be wrong and Glazer set me straight about it.

I shall look into his candidacy, and the other new entrants, and write my next blog on them.

Roz


 +  Like this comment
Posted by Herman Glates, a resident of Danville,
on Jan 29, 2015 at 3:19 pm

I think what you will find is I am right about everything pretty much 99.9% of the time.

It is a burden I must live with.

But I carry on. One day at a time.


 +  Like this comment
Posted by Theo Rackle , a resident of Blackhawk,
on Jan 29, 2015 at 3:55 pm

In Glates' own mind, his only mistake was once when he said "Nobody's perfect." He's legendary, there.


 +  Like this comment
Posted by Ed, a resident of Pleasanton Meadows,
on Jan 30, 2015 at 2:53 pm

To Michael Austin - I hope to God you're wrong about Gavin Newsom running for ANYTHING. After what he did to San Francisco when he was mayor I'd rather have a root canal than see him in office. It galls me that he's Lt Gov. but at least there he has very little power.
He and Kamala Harris were the worst two polictians we've had in a while.


 +  Like this comment
Posted by Michael Austin, a resident of Pleasanton Meadows,
on Jan 30, 2015 at 7:37 pm

Michael Austin is a registered user.

Ed:

Exactly, why I stated a republican will be the next Governor when Gavin Newsom runs for that office!!!


 +  Like this comment
Posted by San Ramon voter, a resident of San Ramon,
on Jan 31, 2015 at 3:52 pm

After the bitter and nasty campaign that Glazier and Sobranti ran last time I would have a very hard time voting for someone that acrimonious.


 +  Like this comment
Posted by San Ramon Observer, a resident of San Ramon,
on Jan 31, 2015 at 4:10 pm

San Ramon Observer is a registered user.

San Ramon Voter,

I made the mistake of blaming Glazer for the attacks on Sbranti, but it was an unaffiliated supporter of Catharine Baker who smeared Sbranti and make it look like these attacks were coming from Steve Glazer. Charles Munger, Jr. was the acrimonious one. See my egg-on-face blog about it here. Web Link

Roz


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