poll shows support for prop 30 dropping
Original post made by voter on Oct 12, 2012
This is a California Business Roundtable and Pepperdine U survey dated Oct 11th and it appears that support for prop 30 has fallen under 50%. And the survey was only done until Oct 10th, so I wonder if the whole blame game on Molly Munger and prop 38 is just a distraction from the facts?
Sept 27th results were:
57.5 in favor of 30 and 35.3 against. Unsure 7.2
Strong yes: 23.1, Somewhat: 15.6, Leaning: 18.8
Strong no: 18.3, Somewhat:4.0, Leaning:13.0
Oct 11th results are:
49.5 in favor of 30 and 41.7 against. Unsure 8.8
Strong yes: 18.7, Somewhat: 14.8, Leaning: 16.0
Strong no: 23.4, Somewhat: 6.7, Leaning: 11.6
So the strong yes's have fallen significantly and strong no's have grown significantly in the last two weeks.
I wonder why this hasn't made the news because you'd think the fact that support is under 50% now is big news? I'm not hugely political, so is it the source? Are there different surveys out there?
on Oct 12, 2012 at 4:48 pm
Of course...it has always been NO on 3O ! ! People know school kids get shorted because unions take off the top. ..Same is true for 30.. Schools & kids might get something IF something is left AFTER Brown's unions...always AFTER UNIONS, when the shortage is from unions excesses in the first place! ! !
on Oct 12, 2012 at 5:43 pm
Everyone I know, even parents with kids in school oppose prop 30 and 38. I am against the propositions as well because I know the money is really meant to fund the unions, those unfunded liabilities that are causing budget deficits in schools, cities going bankrupt, services being cut. Brown and the dems in Sacramento are not fooling people, and if you read the text of the prop, it says money is to be used for "state debt"
Here is an interesting article from the merc news about prop 30:
" Support for Proposition 30 continues to slide -- a bad sign this close to election day -- and now he has to contend with a flurry of news stories that have focused on California's hostile business climate. "
"Without jobs, private sector spending plummets. Without private sector spending, tax revenue plummets. This isn't rocket science, it's Economics 101. "
on Oct 12, 2012 at 5:54 pm
And the LA times has an article with the same numbers as those you posted:
"Gov. Jerry Brown's tax plan is polling below 50% for the first time, according to a new online survey released from the California Business Roundtable.
Two weeks ago, the same poll showed support for Proposition 30 at 57.5% That has dropped to 49.5% in the latest survey, with 41.7% of those polled saying they were opposed to the measure.
The online poll of 830 likely voters was conducted Sunday through Wednesday. Radio and television ads began running against the governor's measure during that time, and are likely the reason for the drop in support, says Rob Lapsley, president of the Roundtable. "
and the LA times also reported how the prop had more support in May and dropped in sept:
"Fifty-five percent of registered voters say that they back such an increase, a drop from May, when 59% of voters supported it. The new poll shows 36% of voters opposed, with the remainder undecided."
I hope both prop 30 and 38 fail