How Long Will Obama’s Spike in Popularity Last?
Original post made by Cindy Cross on May 2, 2011
With Osama Bin Laden finally found and killed, President Obama may enjoy a spike in popularity. But will it last long enough for victory in the 2012 election?
Opinions that Obama is a weak president may change, although temporarily, with the bold military action taken to kill Bin Laden.
According to a recent Gallup Poll, Obama's approval rating is currently 46% and bound to rally higher. An example of a significant rally in popularity came about after the capture of Saddam Hussein. Before Saddam's capture, President George Bush's approval rating was 56%. With the announcement of Saddam's capture, Bush's approval rating shot up to 63%.
Obama bashers such as Rush Limbaugh, Dick Cheney and John Boehner all offered public statements of congratulations to Obama. Although Boehner, surrounded by fellow Republican leaders, showed little sincerity as he read his written statement.
Obama has helped his image by looking more presidential as a strong Commander in Chief who is willing to make tough decisions. Faced with the choice of bombing Bin Laden's compound, or sending in a special ops mission that could kill Bin Laden and get proof of his death that the world would demandObama opted for the more risky special op route.
Consider the 2008 elections when Obama said, "And if we have Osama bin Laden in our sights and the Pakistani government is unable or unwilling to take them out, then I think that we have to act, and we will take them out. We will kill bin Laden. We will crush al Qaeda. That has to be our biggest national security priority." - Barack Obama (2008 debate) While other presidential hopefuls like Senator Hillary Clinton, Senator John McCain and his side- kick Sarah Palin scoffed at Obama's idea of sending a secret special ops mission into a "sovereign nation."
But killing Bin Laden won't help the economy or lower the price of gas. The election is eighteen months away. If the economy gets worse, or even stays the same, voters may not remember the Bin Laden incident as vividly. Winston Churchill, after leading England into victory in 1945 against Nazi Germany lost re-election due to a bad economy.
With the birther issue behind him, and Bin Laden found and killed, it seems that President Obama may be untouchable for the short-term.
on May 3, 2011 at 12:52 am
Big win for President Obama! And big win for the USA!
Ah, but Cindy, you haven't been reading these posts. There are still many who wouldn't give credit to the Muslim, godless, socialist, "economic terrorist", birth certificateless leader even if he were to personally develop a cure for cancer and bring about lasting peace to the entire world.
Bush had American good will behind him after he used lies and deception as rationale for invading Iraq before he had finished the job in Afghanistan or captured Bin Laden. But he couldn't fool the public for long. When he left office, Bush's approval rating was at 28%; Cheney's was substantially below that; and Bush's approval rating with African Americans was 2%.
Obama, in contrast, is the real deal, and I think his current poll numbers reflect that half the nation, despite the Republican-created recession being far more stubborn than anyone had fully anticipated, still gives him credit for being the right man for the job.
The Repubs don't have anyone who poses a serious threat to unseat him. Carnival clowns, most of them, with perhaps a stuff-shirted economic nerd among them, but even he, beyond showing a facility with presenting deceptive, unrealistic numbers with a straight face, doesn't seem to have a brain in his head.
No, despite 40% or so of the American public going off the deep end, unable to fathom or stomach the reality of a black man showing a brilliance that puts them all to shame, Obama will be fine. He's head and shoulders above anything the Repubs have to offer.
on May 3, 2011 at 8:35 am
i will give mr. owl credit for conciseness, it only took 5 short graphs to bash bish and cheney, paul ryan, birthers, and call everyone opposed to obama either a racist an/or a clown
thankfully, mr Obamas situation is not as rosy as mr. owl would have you believe
certainly, most everyone outside of alex jones types give obama credit for continuing the bush policies and pursuing bin Laden and bringing back some photos and DNA
but other than that and the improvement in his golf game, mr Obama doesn't seem to have too many arrows pointing in the right direction.
when it comes to the 2012 election, it's the economy, stupid -- and the "Republican-created recession" excuse has already worn thin, it will not suffice at the end of 4 years.
on May 3, 2011 at 8:46 am
Now that this Osama Bin Laden thing is behind us, I guess we can get back to worrying about the important matters of his fraudulent birth certificate and cutting healthcare services for women and kids. God, I love the TEA Party.